EQNR:EURONEXT OSLO
Equinor ASA
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$32.44
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Equinor’s stock is trading at $32.44, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $29.83 and 50‑day SMA of $26.98, while remaining well above the 200‑day SMA of $25.14, signaling a clear bullish trend. Technical momentum is strong with an RSI of 68, a bullish MACD crossover (line $1.63 above signal $1.42), and the price holding above the nearest support at $26.83 with upside potential toward the $34.19 resistance. Volatility is elevated at 40% over the past 30 days, but the low beta of 0.49 suggests limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward PE of 11.5 versus an industry average of 20.3, and a dividend yield of 4.81% with a 75% payout ratio, supported by robust free cash flow of $20.2 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value of $107.69 implies a deep discount, while a $375 million share‑buy‑back programme adds further upside. Despite a 4.7% revenue decline, the solid cash position, strong operating margins, and ongoing investments in renewables and carbon capture provide a resilient base for long‑term value creation.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward PE of 11.5 versus an industry average of 20.3, and a dividend yield of 4.81% with a 75% payout ratio, supported by robust free cash flow of $20.2 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value of $107.69 implies a deep discount, while a $375 million share‑buy‑back programme adds further upside. Despite a 4.7% revenue decline, the solid cash position, strong operating margins, and ongoing investments in renewables and carbon capture provide a resilient base for long‑term value creation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA alignment)
- Share buy‑back programme adding price support
- Strong dividend yield and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Valuation still far below DCF fair value
- Revenue contraction moderating growth expectations
- Continued exposure to volatile oil & gas prices
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Deep undervaluation relative to intrinsic fair value
- Sustainable dividend and solid free cash flow
- Strategic shift toward renewables and carbon capture
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-4.70%
Profit Margin4.76%
P/E Ratio16.7
ROE12.21%
ROA12.93%
Debt/Equity77.09
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$20.0B
Free Cash Flow$20.2B
Industry P/E20.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$26.83
Resistance$34.19
MA 20$29.83
MA 50$26.98
MA 200$25.14
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair Value$107.69
Target Price$24.45
Upside/Downside-24.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.81%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility40.48%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.