EQNR:EURONEXT OSLO

Equinor ASA

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$32.44

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Equinor’s stock is trading at $32.44, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $29.83 and 50‑day SMA of $26.98, while remaining well above the 200‑day SMA of $25.14, signaling a clear bullish trend. Technical momentum is strong with an RSI of 68, a bullish MACD crossover (line $1.63 above signal $1.42), and the price holding above the nearest support at $26.83 with upside potential toward the $34.19 resistance. Volatility is elevated at 40% over the past 30 days, but the low beta of 0.49 suggests limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward PE of 11.5 versus an industry average of 20.3, and a dividend yield of 4.81% with a 75% payout ratio, supported by robust free cash flow of $20.2 bn. The DCF‑derived fair value of $107.69 implies a deep discount, while a $375 million share‑buy‑back programme adds further upside. Despite a 4.7% revenue decline, the solid cash position, strong operating margins, and ongoing investments in renewables and carbon capture provide a resilient base for long‑term value creation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA alignment)
  • Share buy‑back programme adding price support
  • Strong dividend yield and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation still far below DCF fair value
  • Revenue contraction moderating growth expectations
  • Continued exposure to volatile oil & gas prices

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Deep undervaluation relative to intrinsic fair value
  • Sustainable dividend and solid free cash flow
  • Strategic shift toward renewables and carbon capture

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.70%
Profit Margin4.76%
P/E Ratio16.7
ROE12.21%
ROA12.93%
Debt/Equity77.09
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$20.0B
Free Cash Flow$20.2B
Industry P/E20.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$26.83
Resistance$34.19
MA 20$29.83
MA 50$26.98
MA 200$25.14
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$107.69
Target Price$24.45
Upside/Downside-24.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.81%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility40.48%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.